In recent developments, Paytm, operated by One 97 Communications Ltd, faced a decline in its stock performance, becoming the worst performer in the BSE500 pack. The dip followed an analyst meet where Paytm announced a reduction in monthly disbursements for its small-ticket ‘postpaid’ service. This decision, driven by a conscious call and consultation with lending partners, raised concerns among analysts about the company’s shift from a payments-focused entity to a loan distribution-focused one.
Paytm Share Analysis & Future Targets Prediction
YES Securities, expressing skepticism, questioned the broader thesis of Paytm’s transformation, emphasizing the need to assess how many customers could be converted into loan customers in the long run. Shivaji Thapliyal, Head of Research at Yes Securities, maintained a less-than-bullish ‘ADD’ rating on the stock.
Contrary to recent speculations, Motilal Oswal noted that Paytm denied losing lending partners and highlighted its seven NBFC partners for loan distribution. The company remains optimistic about growth, citing sufficient partners to support it, despite the RBI’s increased risk weight. However, the brokerage trimmed disbursement estimates, resulting in an Ebidta cut.
Morgan Stanley maintained an equal weight with a target of Rs 830, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to ‘neutral.’ Jefferies maintained a ‘Buy’ but lowered the target, and Bernstein reduced its target on Paytm.
JM Financial linked Paytm’s rally since 2022 to strong loan distribution business revenues and operational efficiencies. With a sudden pullback in a key growth lever, the brokerage expects negative reactions until growth trends stabilize.
In response to these developments, investors and analysts are reassessing their outlook on Paytm’s stock. The company’s strategic decisions, commentary on profitability, and the evolving landscape of the fintech industry have contributed to a mixed sentiment among market participants. As Paytm navigates these challenges, the stock’s performance remains a focal point for market watchers, highlighting the dynamic nature of the financial markets and the importance of adaptability in the rapidly changing fintech sector.